• AnchoriteMagus@lemmy.world
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    4 hours ago

    Generally, you’ll see terms like “demographic collapse” instead, but yeah basically.

    A lot of people were born during the immediate post-WWII years. Those people are now dying. Cause and effect.

  • darthsundhaft@piefed.social
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    2 hours ago

    Yeah, it’s already happening in places like Japan but what’ll really do it in for everyone is WW3. Any day now and Trump will cause it. I’d wage money but we all know once that starts, currency won’t be worth damn.

  • bigfish@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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    4 hours ago

    Starts with a “oh shit these old people have expensive healthcare needs!”, proceeds to “how the hell are we going to pay for their elder benefits?” (Social Security in the US), and eventually to “even their houses got gobbled up by the banks and private capital when they had to reverse mortgage their homes to pay off their medical bills and live out their final days…”

  • Hikermick@lemmy.world
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    3 hours ago

    The “baby boom” happened between 1946 and 1964, an 18 year period. Not everyone will die within an 18 year period. Some have already passed, some will live into their 90’s and could be around until the 2060’s

  • BananaTrifleViolin@piefed.world
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    3 hours ago

    Sort of. You do get an increase in death rates decades later as people from a baby boom eventually die. However births tend to be in relative sync (closer together anyway) during a baby boom say over a period of a few years, while deaths are much more spread out maybe over a decade or more. That’s because other factors come into play such as individual health, and the differences in people of the same age’s health depending on economic state and lifestyle etc. In otherwords, lots of people may have been born in say 1945 but their deaths will be spread out over years because not everyone dies at the same age.

    Many western countries are going through a period of natural population decline due to low birth rates and increasing death rates as baby boomers from 1945 onwards start dying. But those deaths are spread out, and somewhat offset by immigration. So yes more people are dying but populations are overall stable or even growing as immigrants flow in.

  • UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world
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    3 hours ago

    Of the 76M Boomers born between '45 and '69, 64M are still alive. With a life expectancy of 85 and the first traumch entering their 80s this year, we would expect to see a rapid fall off in the population (or a rapid climb in life expectancy average) over the next decade

    • Andy@slrpnk.net
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      2 hours ago

      Respectfully, whenever I hear this I have to push back.

      ‘The boomers fucked us over’ trope is largely a myth like ‘first world consumers are responsible for climate change’: it’s a cultural narrative that exists to divert blame to a huge group to obscure that it’s mostly a small group of investors and their corporations who (in both of these cases) fucked over the other 99% of the civilisation.

      It’s true that most of the worst people are boomers: but as a group, most boomers are not these people. Most boomers are poor and have lived their whole lives in a fake democracy where they never really had serious political power.

      The elderly greeters at Walmart who can never retire; the old woman at the bus stop wearing chipped glasses with a prescription 10 years out of date; the guy at the VA home dying of cancer he got from being drafted into Vietnam; these aren’t the people who fucked the rest of us over. They’re just us, older.

  • kbal@fedia.io
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    4 hours ago

    It’s normally thought of as more of a “baby bust” but same thing really, a big whack of old people around for a while.

  • HubertManne@piefed.social
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    2 hours ago

    this is from gemini but 2005 would be the year 2/3rds of the greatest gen had passed away and 2028 will be silent generation. 2045 for boomers and X is 2064. So we are just getting to the point where more elderly boomers are dying over silent generation. Whats funny is it will be much longer for Xers to overtake boomers because of how large the boomers are and how small the Xers are and then it will be a shorter time once there are more millenials dying because they also are larger. Boomers will be the main diers for like 30 years going forward. I mean using current life expectancy anyway.