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Cake day: June 16th, 2023

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  • Sadly every major power tends to be the baddies to some extent, it’s how they get to be and stay major powers. We just get to grade on a curve. Nazi Germany really set the curve and the US got to be the pretty unambiguous good guys, at least up to the firebombing campaign in Japan, the nuclear bombs, and being complicit after the fact in Japanese atrocities by shielding them from consequences.

    While we have an “ambient” level of baddie-ness most of the time, we at least have balanced it out by sometimes defending against unjust violence and providing humanitarian aid.

    Now Trump seeks to turn that baddie scale up to the max while simultaneously cutting out all aid efforts.




  • Of those actually in power, as a rule they don’t idolize Trump and I would say are manipulating Trump more than Trump is manipulating them.

    Trump’s straightforward enough, he’s a megalomaniac. Make him rich and/or stroke his ego and you are golden. Trump doesn’t really have a lot of ideology outside of self-worship.

    Much of his executive administration is the brainchild of the Project 2025 folks. Those folks are basically being like Dick Cheney, all agenda zero interest in “taking credit”. Trump is useful, they just have to say “Trump is great” and feed him a mountain of executive orders to sign and he’ll happily do it, while asking for a one liner vaguely describing the order, marveling about it and signing it and moving on.

    Musk is different because while the PJ2025 people are all too happy to yield the spotlight, Musk is very loud as he is also a megalomaniac. He’s fine with buying and placating Trump’s ego, but he also must be front and center screaming “look at me”.

    To the extent these folks are working together it’s because their interests don’t conflict. RFK Jr. wants to play with a health system that no other stakeholder in this game cares about, but otherwise doesn’t care. The PJ2025 people might not have gone this viciously after USAID as Musk’s vendetta is taking him, but they certainly don’t mind.

    So what happens when interests collide? Well see when Trump declared the US was going to go in, take over Gaza, and spend shit tons of US resources on rebuilding that for resort development while doing an ethnic cleanse. That’s a lot of evil to try to hide, more than I think they like trying to pull off this soon, but more importantly to them that’s an expensive thing they don’t want to pay for. So they just pretended that Trump never said the things he said and invented a new narrative retroactively and acting like the media was stupid for failing to understand. The manipulation continues, and Trump is fine because they played it so that he was always right, even as they retroactively changed what he said about US troops and investment. Netanyahu’s manipulation worked, but then his administration manipulated a different way.

    Now if PJ2025 and Musk reach a conflict, don’t know how that will go.






  • The funny thing is that as much hubris as some folks show, they have nothing on those that have it in them to get to multi-millionaire status.

    You’ll see someone so full of hubris and just talking out of their ass, but faced with a question or statement that derails their talk, even those people will kind of pause while their brain struggles with what the hell just happened, before carrying on generally still out of their ass, but they stammered for a bit to get back to that hubris.

    Those that have the real hubris in them, don’t even bat an eye. They don’t even consider for a millisecond that information inconsistent with their world view is worth processing.




  • Actually he got his start selling some random website to Compaq in the middle of the “everyone throw their money at random websites” craze of the late 90s. So he was among the folks that won the dot-com lottery.

    Then he took his winnings and rolled it into x.com, which was solidly on a trajectory to fail. He also wasn’t allowed to be in charge.

    Then after the merger with the much more popular PayPal (which could have done just fine without X.com ever coming along), Elon somehow got put in charge. He wanted to run the whole thing on Windows and it was a terrible terrible decision, with Paypal only being saved by kicking Elon out. Despite his role being just briefly in charge of it taking a wildly successful product and nearly destroying it only to be kicked out, people popularly credited him as ‘the Paypal guy’.

    So a guy got lucky and got $22 million from Compaq, and then $170 million from eBay because he still had a ton of PayPal stock despite no longer allowed to make decisions about it, and was carried by his “he was in charge of PayPal!” creds into Tesla, rewriting history of that company to declare himself a visionary founder rather than an early investor after the fact.

    All the while the media sucking up to him hard, putting him in various cameos and references to portray him as a great mind of modern times, a real life Tony Stark. Feeding his ego while people close to him personally wrote about what a loser douchebag he was.









  • The whole “If the Democrats don’t immediately and completely do everything I want I’m not going to participate at all” is a self-fulfilling philosophy.

    On the republican side, when the larger party was “too far to the left”, they didn’t just throw up their hands, they worked at it, slogging away at the relatively less glamorous task of mucking about within the framework of their party, getting small victories and parlaying them to broader victories and preparation to have their time when the ground was ready. But the entire time supporting the party closest to what they wanted while they worked things even as the party failed to move as far as they wanted. All the time learning lessons on how to advance even the parts of their agenda that kept getting rejected even by their own party. They were clowns, mocked, too ridiculous to really be feared, but they were ultimately pragmatic and as a result, here they are…