Edit 12:11 PM 11/6 Pacific
Kentucky (8), Indiana (11), West Virginia (4), Florida (30), South Carolina (9), Tennessee (11), Alabama (9), Mississippi (6), Oklahoma (7), Arkansas (6), North Dakota (3), South Dakota (3), Nebraska (4*), Wyoming (3), Louisiana (8), Texas (40), Ohio (17), Missouri (10), Montana (4), Utah (6), Idaho (4), Iowa (6), Kansas (6), North Carolina (BG-16), Georgia (BG-16), Pennsylvanya (BG-19), Wisconsin (10), Michigan (15), Maine (1*), Alaska (3), Arizona (11) and Nevada (6) called for Trump.
Vermont (3), Connecticut (7), District of Columbia (3), Maryland (10), Massachusetts (11), Rhode Island (4), Delaware (3), Illinois (19), New Jersey (14), New York (28), Colorado (10), California (54), Washington (12), Oregon (8), Virginia (13), Hawaii (4), New Mexico (5), New Hampshire (4), Minnesota (10), Nebraska (1*), Maine (3*) for Harris.
2 counties in PA have extended voting hours due to voting machine problems. 9:30 PM in one, 10:00 PM in the other.
Multiple precincts in Georgia have extended hours due to bomb threats.
Edit 03:09 PM Pacific Harris wins Guam.
This thread is for the Presidential election, my plan is to start marking wins as soon as they are called, sorted by time zone.
Some states are going to take longer than others. Polls generally close at 8 PM local time, but they can’t start counting early/mail in votes until after the polls close.
Wisconsin in particular has an interesting system where ballots are collected by MUNICIPALITY, not precinct, they have over 1,800 ballot counting locations and don’t report until ALL 1,800 are in.
https://www.wbur.org/onpoint/2024/10/22/wisconsin-voters-election-milwaukee-security-denier
Currently 226 EC votes from Blue States:
4+19+10+7+3+3+4+10+11 +4+14+28+4+3+13+54+12 +10+5+8+6
NC called for Trump. -16 here, +16 to Trump.
GA called for Trump. -16 here, +16 to Trump.
PA called for Trump. -19 here, +19 to Trump.
AZ and NV both called for Trump, +11, +6
Which leaves 312 EC votes in Red States.
9+6+6+6+8+6+10+5+3+7 +3+40+30+11+8+17+9+11+4+3+4+4+3+16+16+19+11+6
270 to Win.
Online map here!
So much for that Iowa poll.
Knew that poll was a flaming pile of horseshit the moment it came out. Lady got lucky a few cycles in a row.
Harris has ONE path to victory, ONE.
She has to win PA, MI, WI, MN.
Losing any one of those 4 states ends it.
MSNBC just called PA for Trump. That’s it, it’s over!
PA alone is 90% reporting with Trump leading in all but 7 districts and having nearly 3.4% more votes. Nothing is finalized, but if that sample is indicative of the overall votes (which by the law of large numbers, 6 million samples is probably accurate), he takes it.
I hate to say it, but Harris would need a miracle to win that state, let alone the other three.
10 PM Eastern / 7 PM Pacific
(BG 11 EC Votes) Arizona - Called for Trump
(BG 6) Nevada - Called For Trump
(R 4) Idaho - Called For Trump
(R 4) Montana - Called For Trump
(D 6) Utah - Called For Trump
(R 3) Wyoming - Called For Trump
(D 10) Colorado - Called For Harris
(D 5) New Mexico - Called For Harris
(D 8) Oregon - Called For HarrisIt’s game over if Michigan falls to Trump. Good job being mealy mouthed about genocide. We can’t upset AIPAC can we?
It’s going to boil down to
VA, PA, MI, WI, MN. A Trump win in any of them puts him over the top. Harris has to take allfivefour. VA just got called for Harris. 1 down, 4 to go.MSNBC called PA for Trump, that’s it. It’s over.
But the “Anti-Genocide” vote in Michigan is not significant.
Donald Trump 47,322,739 votes (52.5%)
Kamala Harris 41,760,788 votes (46.3%)
Jill Stein 334,826 votes (0.4%)
Chase Oliver 334,504 votes (0.4%)
Robert Kennedy 291,829 votes (0.3%)
Other candidates 160,156 votes (0.2%)Harris is down 6 million. The other protest votes are 10% of that.
When the “anti-genocide” people accelerated and intensified the outcome of the existing genocide by protest voting for spoiler candidates it is really hard to muster any sympathy.
Sometimes you have to be willing to play politics in order to win at politics. Purity testing doesn’t count for shit when the opposition is literally in favor of enslaving the entire human race for sport.
Way to go! You really showed the lesser of two evils who’s boss, while the ultra-nationalist psycopaths erradicate millions more innocent people. Nice fucking job 👏
Harris played it safe and it looks like she’s going to lose anyway, so maybe she should’ve considered more progressive ideas. Or maybe listened to her constituents instead of doing what Democrats always fucking do, and playing off the “you have to vote for us because we’re not them.”
But no, let’s blame the voters for a candidate failing to win them over.
I’m fine with tacking to the left. She was not the candidate to do it. Until you have someone who is willing to threaten to rally the same kind of structural violence that Donald Trump is capable of in opposition, and actually make good on it, then moving to the middle is the only logical option. We either get serious about forcing our positions by any means necessary or pander to the lowest common denominator. Those are the only two options.
then moving to the middle is the only logical option.
And Democrats will continue to lose because of this. Americans are tired of progress not happening, so I have to disagree with you.
Democrats needed to rally the country and get them excited behind a progressive candidate actually willing to reflect their constituency. But they won’t, because that’s somehow considered radical by Democrats.
The Democrats keep trying this middle-of-the-road status quo bullshit, and they keep losing. So maybe middle of the road isn’t the play anymore.
Did you somehow miss, or just conveniently ignore the first part of my comment where I literally called for a revolutionary candidate who was willing to restructure the face of the left by whatever means necessary?
No, I didn’t miss it, you just will never convince me that progress can only be made by riding in the middle. Harris needed to be a shift left that a lot of people in this country are desperate for, and instead, she chose centrist policies and pandering to Republicans for their votes.
The “political” game is over, we needed actual change, and we got it, just not from the candidate we needed.
Whoever ran the Harris campaign on Reddit deserves their salary. That was an amazing echo chamber that had me fooled. I was expecting a blue wave better than Biden 2020. Too bad it doesn’t translate into the election.
Biden 2020 was a nail-biter of a win and thus far I don’t think any of the states he won have been called for Trump. But there being no surprises in the blue direction is not very comforting even if Harris does pull it out.
Trump always overperforms. Even in 2020 he did better than he had any right to. This time there is no covid hanging over his head and Biden/Harris are taking all the blame for inflation.
It also does not hurt that millions of Americans willingly consume hours of right wing propaganda everyday. Fox News remains one of if not the top cable channel (after sports) and Joe Rogan one of the top podcasts. Meanwhile CNN has shifted right, papers like the Washington post have been compromised, and the remaining “liberal media” is so obsessed with appearing unbiased that they end up “sane washing” GOP craziness and inflating minor democrat flubs.
So uh… what’s the right attitude to deal with this assuming we get a Trump? And I mean personally. I lean towards absurdism.
Stoicism.
Thanks, this is good advice.
I disagree. Stoicism at its worst may lead to resignation. Absurdism encourages defying the meaninglessness of existence in large part by recognizing meaning is made.
In the face of a cold, uncaring existence, absurdism or existentialism are two great philosophies to employ to reimagine how we want to be in the world and how we want the world to be compared to stoicism, which would reach its limits with and within reason. Absurdism recognizes reason’s limits and realizes one needs more than reason alone to persist.
I default to absurd but what I appreciated reading about stoicism was that it made me feel more grounded. Ridiculousness makes me feel expansive and unpredictable and I wasn’t finding a bottom to that.
Aah I follow ya. As evident in my comment, I tend to pair absurdism with its related philosophy existentialism for something of a grounding effect, personally.
Man you go out, chill a bit and get the best icecream You can get
Go to the Winchester, have a pint, and wait for all of this to blow over
The bragging is going to make this so much worse.
I’m a sucker for punishment and have been reading some of it. Here’s a tiny sampling of Reddit:
I want ro kill myself already
I’ve already got my date set.
Live to spite these bastards
No
I am the guy you were talking to. I am getting over it by reading what trump supporters are saying. It’s helping me replace dispare with anger.
I can’t believe we’re a few votes away from having a stooge at the helm and an anti vaxxer as the head of the CDC and FDA.
This fucking hurts.
Yeah. But we need to squarely focus the blame on Harris, the campaign, the apologists who excused some of here deeply unpopular positions, and disallowed the dissent that tried to bring her to more popular positions.
In the previous 6 elections, the candidate that ran as an anti-elite populist won.
This will make 7 (if Trump wins).
There’s a lot of blame to go around.
-Americans who tolerate and accept Trump’s behavior.
-Biden for not calling it sooner and letting a proper candidate emerge. Harris was the best at the last minute but there should have been actual primaries.
-Harris for not swinging for the fences and playing it safe.
arming a genocide and going in on anti-crime and -migrant rhetoric is “playing it safe” jfc
Yep! You new to American politics?
No, I am very acutely aware of how we got here. Clearly their strategy did not work or they would have won tonight. It’s a trick and you fell for it, hard. Of course you wouldn’t want to admit that.
Anyone out there that is gung ho about the border and arming Israel was always going to vote Republican. Ceding the narrative on those only reinforced the Republican base, and not offering anything material depressed the Democrat base. The whole time they’ve been pandering to imaginary voters and you’ll first gaslight yourself into believing those voters exist and your country is a horrible place of garbage people before you’ll admit that your side could have done things differently to appeal to more voters.
Yes, yes it is.
Most of America wants to curb immigration.
Most of America backs Israel or doesn’t care.
The broadcaster in Canada interviewed a young Trump supporter woman. She said all the abortion fears are made up. And that abortion isn’t real healthcare.
You’re a good feminist, telling women what to think!
Remember; most mail ins are democrat. If it looks bad that’s because we are not close to done.
I am on edge and dooming. If Trump wins it’s all over. I’ll likely literally die.
Go over to Reddit if you want to have a nervous breakdown. It’s a complete shitshow over there at the moment.
I don’t get it. There haven’t been any surprises yet.
Pretty much every state is following as expected. Its going to be super close and come down to PA, MI, and WI.
If you’re looking at which states have been called then there may not be any surprises, but things like the NYT needle are following trends in states which are yet to be called.
The NYT needle for the popular vote is currently leaning toward Trump, what the fuck is going on? lol
California hasn’t been counted yet.
That’ll take like a week to finish count
Found this Australian site that’s covering the election from over on MetaFilter, they’ve definitely got the best laid out map I’ve seen tonight.
This guy civs
Republicans are at 51 Senate seats at the moment according to New York Times.
NBC calling the Senate flip.
The Senate™ is always flipping
it is not looking good. i guess we in central europe better start learning russian 😔
Y’all probably should’ve invested in your military instead of letting America foot the bill
Y’all are doomscrolling and there is like 80 million votes to count yet in mail ballots, sheesh
People are doom scrolling because The NY Times model has Trump at 90% likelihood, and Nate Silver thinks they probably have the best model right now.
I’m just saying it’s like 2 weeks until EVERYONE has a final tally of the results, I mean COME ON
95% now
So you saying USA just jumped the shark?
It’s over. There’s no path to victory for Kamala.
270towin called it for Trump.
Nice. Democracy won