Tehran’s ICBMs cannot currently reach the US, experts say, and White House has claimed its nuclear programme has been destroyed

Donald Trump’s likely casus belli for an attack on Iran – which would be the largest US intervention since the Iraq war – is fraught with contradictions, and his top advisers have been left to cover for him as the White House makes the case for intervention.

In his State of the Union address this week, Trump alleged that Iran posed a direct threat to the US and that the country was “working to build missiles that will soon reach the United States of America”. But that claim has not been backed up with evidence by the White House or the Pentagon, and US intelligence reports from just last year say that it would take Iran 10 years to develop an intercontinental ballistic missile that could reach the US.

A public US defense intelligence agency assessment from 2025 says that Iran could use its space-launch vehicles to “develop a militarily-viable ICBM by 2035 should Tehran decide to pursue the capability”. But that threat to the US homeland, as laid out in the document, pales in comparison to the ones already presented by Russia and China, as well as other hostile states like North Korea.

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  • Treczoks@lemmy.world
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    5 days ago

    The truth would be way easier than trying to find an excuse: “We need something to distract people from Trumps crimes.”

  • BreadstickNinja@lemmy.world
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    5 days ago

    “Israel wanted us to do it and AIPAC has bought the whole government.”

    Not difficult to scramble for a rationale here.

  • can_you_change_your_username@fedia.io
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    5 days ago

    If the US invades Iran are we taking bets on whether or not Israel gets nuked? They may not have the ability to produce a nuclear arsenal but I bet Iran has at least a rudimentary device that could be used in a suicide attack.

    • cmbabul@lemmy.world
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      4 days ago

      If the species makes it out of the next few years without a nuking I will be fucking gobsmacked