A CNN/SSRS survey of 1,245 U.S. adults shows that 63 percent are unhappy with Trump’s performance as president, the highest figure of either of his terms.#
A CNN/SSRS survey of 1,245 U.S. adults shows that 63 percent are unhappy with Trump’s performance as president, the highest figure of either of his terms.#
Do polls even matter anymore in this era of politics?Are 1,245 US adults enough to gather anything truly meaningful? What type of people tend to take these polls and are they really reflective of the general population?
Been seeing these bs “disastrous polling for Trump” headlines since his first term
Take a statistics class if this is a legitimate question.
It matters but Trump’s polling is remarkably stable. Headlines are overstating the changes which are barely measurable.
Disregarding sampling bias and other effects, sure, 1,245 is enough for a statistically significant representative sample. You can’t do a lot of subsampling or cohort analysis from it, but if you just want to infer the behavior and attitudes of “Americans” and you sample that many Americans effectively enough, you’re fine.
But practically speaking, no. You’re not going to sample that many Americans effectively enough. Polling is a shitshow these days.