𝔼𝕩𝕦𝕤𝕚𝕒

I’m here for a meme time, up votes to the left thanks

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Joined 3 years ago
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Cake day: June 21st, 2023

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  • As long as it doesnt pass its Hold Time for food safety, and the walk on cooler/freezer is below the foodservice temps, it can be re-served the next day. Probably at a discount or even with a note about messing with the pizza index. As the Index has become more common its more important to have fake days to send (reddit) into a frenzy and begin “predicting an imminent action”.

    Reddit “predicted” strikes on Iran “totally this weekend” like 2 weeks before it happened based solely on this index. It has value for ongoing operations since staff will do OT for weeks at a time for it, but intermittent spikes while in a ramp up to war aren’t gonna be the smoking gun they want it to be.



  • I wrote my comment in the assumption that there is no immediately obvious cause of damage.

    The assumption a carrier- with more bulkheads/damage control teams/position at the heart of a formation suddenly taking critical damage and/or sinking without any warning of incoming enemy planes/missiles would generate the exact amount of panic it sounds like it should. I suppose I kind of missed that in the original comment.

    A nuclear device detonating underneath would generate a great amount of concern from the international community, especially if Iran immediately says “yo that wasn’t us”


  • Without reading an article, but I will assume you mean a magical macguffin weapon just…sinks it and no one knows what happened. The response depends on a few things.

    Without its strike group

    Threat assessment will show its defenses were overwelmed by the macguffin weapon. Maybe even conventional missiles - these things aren’t invincible.

    With Strike Group

    The normal Carrier travels with 12-15 destroyers and other auxiliary vessels to provide screening and defense overlapping. If the carrier is struck and damaged/sunk in the center or back of this strike group, without loss of other vessels, an immediate retreat and Threat assessment will be done to see how the macguffin weapon got past everything else. This would be the concern - again Carriers aren’t invincible, but how your macguffin got past so much radar would be important and the MAIN focus, if the macguffin did not do it in an immediately obvious way.

    Strike Group disabled/sunk

    If the entire strike group is damaged/sunk, the entire fleet will pull back to begin assessing risk of the macguffin. Damaging a fair number of ships run by the United States in a short order should be beyond poor nations capabilities, so the macguffiin weapon would necessitate reevaluation. Delay of at least a week to assess where/what the macguffin weapon is, (Assuming its a singular object) and then if the target, say Iran, is able to be struck within a specific loss ratio of troops.

    A macguffin weapon like a Deathstar type where it can fire at single target position would give most Threat analysis away and the immediate questions to answer would be 1. How much energy/fuel/ammunition does it cost to fire. (If a broke country can afford a mega laser - how don’t I have one?) 2. How does it target (radar can be blocked, is it manually aimed as direct fire/ parabolic like artillery) 3. How can it be avoided (like blocking radar to aim, or like can a physical obstruction block the firing angle. 4. Can it be destroyed (is it susceptible to a strike team on land to sabotage?) 5 Is there more than one.





  • Genuine ask, it (feels like) more and more fields have been shifting to soybeans for more than a decade. Who else is a major importer that justified the swing from corn and feeder silage, before China got on board?

    E:googled my questions- its a high protein alternative to meat, so it is popular in China, Mexico, and EU where mass meat farms are not on the same priority or scale as the US. Its also easily swapped into animal feed, and is a good energy yield crop that costs less soil-nutrients than most other high value crops as it produces much of its own Nitrogen to grow. In scale - In those 7 years China now imports about 20-25% of all US soybeans harvested accounting for over half of all soybeans exports. The US accounts for 30% of world soybean exports.

    Most farms in the US are on 3 crop rotation and private farms often use a 5 year payback plan (for land and equipment). They JUST GOT DONE paying off the loans they took to get massively into Soy. They saw Trump promise farmers the world, took loans and grew Soy, got slapped with a recession, and just as they are recovering from poor sales, they get hit again. Given 1 in 5 farms are an export farm (the 20% statistic from earlier), and where they’re at in crop rotation, I would make a (wildly uneducated) guess that 1 in 3 farms will experience extreme hardship. Either they have savings to just eat the second recession hit and will remove any edge on “getting ahead”, or will need bailout, or will go broke. The other 2/3 are on a different rotation or are major corporate farms that will find a buyer within their own meat farms system to try and mitigate the massive excess.




  • Global warming causes weather events to intensify. >Fall and spring< are dying first. While there will be more mild winters as it goes, when we do get winters they will come with record lows and record snowfall -like that one in Texas.

    As winters die out, (wet season) Hurricane season will lengthen, and then we will lose winter as everything becomes more…tropical. The world will shift to what the tropics are used to - hot season and rainy season. With warming powering them, hurricanes will be monsterously large.




  • Japan sights *the only two carriers China owns, traveling together.

    Sure Liaoning (a refitted soviet design) and Shandong (a newer cv based on the soviet design plan) together is a sight to see and power projection, but even more so it means they’re not elsewhere. Moving both to the same place near Japan means India and Taiwan aren’t within quick response range. I understand its just a display but this is what a party waiting to strike watches for. Not setting them in the same fleet ALSO prevents you from getting pearl-harbor’d and losing both your CVs in a single strike, should that happen.

    US Forces are already in the area and just left for patrol

    Additionally, the George Washington (an aging Nimitz) just left Japan to begin patrols (every summer for 6 months has been the tradition for the fleet). The 7th Fleet website says the Strike Group is comprised of the 1 CV, 2 cruisers (ticonderoga class) and 9 destroyers (arleigh-burke class) totalling 12 ships. A different article cites the Liaoning traveling with 3 ships, and Shandong with 5, totalling 10. Shandong travels with 1 cruiser and I can’t find what Liaoning’s complement is. I’d assume the rest are destroyers or auxiliary barracks/fuel ships. It should be noted this isnt the first time these carriers have done this, they were in the Phillipines doing drills last year together in November, which caused concern for a Taiwan invasion.

    If these 2 are going to drill together it means China may be almost ready to launch Fujian (a flat top supercarrier of China’s own design) to power project in 2 places again, and let the 2 older model designs travel together to cover any weaknesses they may have.


  • Depending on fuel availability and other obligations, it opens them up to some severe implications to enterprising forces. Logistically they must either weaken other theaters (like say Syria or Georgia or Kyrgyzstan) by flying them to replace the lost craft, or simply accept a weakened position with air power over Ukraine. (Assuming all are in service and none are reserve)

    Even more so, Russian command will have to gauge if Ukraine is able to replicate this, and how often. If another strike like this is deemed not only possible but imminent, they will have to start using an airbase even further from the front, driving fuel costs up to deliver the same payloads. Additionally, increased flight time means less chance the target will be caught unprepared for your arrival and allows more time to relocate mobile AA to respond to your (now much longer and obvious) flight path.

    Edit: The TU-95 (the nuclear capable bigboi) has a fuel range of 15k km (9300mi) so these were already well within range, just flight times will be longer.










  • Did a bit of digging, this is “Intelligence Ship Kilden” not a converted or re-activated Kilden Class destroyer (none of which were named Kilden, and all were deactivated by 1991). The ship is converted from a Hydrographic survey vessel (1970), outfitted with 16 “Strela” SAM missiles. Given her 30 day endurance and less than 10k nautical miles range, she was not out here alone - and suspiciously there’s been a lot of underwater stuff broken in the recent years - the kind of thing a hydrographic ship would be great at locating.

    She’s powered by 4 diesel generators feeding 2 1800hp engines, so “thick black smoke coming from the funnel” means she probably blew an engine, and damaged the other for the moment, with no power to her screws (resulting in the Loss of Control signal) and as a result was “sacrificial lamb’d” by her surface complement in case of discovery. If they get the engine(s) back up and running, she will probably be rejoined by a conveniently close escort of some kind “to ensure she makes it back to port safely”.

    Black Sea Fleet Russian website