• Mearuu@kbin.melroy.org
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      4 days ago

      Not on topic but that is actually a valid strategy for blackjack. It is the reason that table limits exist. Otherwise doubling down every loss will eventually net you a positive.

      For global politics is still next level stupid.

      • makyo@lemmy.world
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        4 days ago

        It’s sort of a crazy strategy in Blackjack too. Lose 7-8 times in a row and you’re already betting 100x your starting bet.

        • Windex007@lemmy.world
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          4 days ago

          If you’ve lost 8 times in a row, you’re actually now betting 256x your original bet.

          It’s NOT a good strategy. Statistically it doesn’t by any means whatsoever ensure you’ll end up net positive.

          It’s called “Oscar’s Grind” and there is a plethora of mathematics that show it is does not beat the house.

        • Mearuu@kbin.melroy.org
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          4 days ago

          It’s actually the strategy with the best return of any strategy, including card counting. In any blackjack strategy you need a large bankroll to take advantage of the law of large numbers.

          Seriously, this works so well and is the reason for table limits.

          Because you will never find a no limit blackjack table you cannot actually apply this strategy in the real world. But it is mathematically sound.

          • michaelmrose@lemmy.world
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            4 days ago

            It’s not sound actually because it trivially ends up in nonsensical amounts of money and any sufficiently long series of rolls will have an increasing chance of having a sufficiently long series of losses such that no reasonable person can possibly recover from it. For instance who that can afford to bet 1024x 100 or $100,000 on a single game of chance is excited by betting $100?

            It’s nonsense.

            • Mearuu@kbin.melroy.org
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              4 days ago

              It’s mathematically sound because you do guarantee a net positive with enough of a bankroll. As I have mentioned in other comments here this is not a strategy that can be used in the real world.

              You even admit it would work with absurd amounts of money… The math works.

              • michaelmrose@lemmy.world
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                4 days ago

                The math doesn’t work because given enough rolls you literally always go bankrupt no matter what bankroll you start with. Take the simplest option a fair coin where you win on tails and lose on heads. Real actual random flips will contains runs of heads. Let N be the number of rolls required to bankrupt you for any value of N. The more you roll the more the probability of such a run increases towards 1.

                You could end up bankrupting a billion dollar bank starting with 10 dollar bets. It’s only sound if you have a literally infinite bank. For any finite bank you just have to play longer to lose but you always end up losing.

      • rc__buggy@sh.itjust.works
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        4 days ago

        A valid losing strategy, sure.

        But doubling down can only be done during play, not at the start of a hand.