Not really. Current estimates are that Russia has about 1,500 missiles deployed and ready to go. If we assume only 10% will actually lift off, and of those, only 10% will hit their target and detonate, that leaves 15 cities to be hit. Living near a potential target?
What? No, it doesn’t. It makes MAD more likely. The prevailing thought is if one nuclear state pops a nuke everyone else will; the question isn’t who will win but who will survive. All Belarus needs to do it to attempt to use one it and it’s over. But I suspect that Belarus doesn’t control the nukes.
Irritatingly, this suggests that Putin doesn’t really know if his nukes work. If true, this badly breaks MAD.
Not really. Current estimates are that Russia has about 1,500 missiles deployed and ready to go. If we assume only 10% will actually lift off, and of those, only 10% will hit their target and detonate, that leaves 15 cities to be hit. Living near a potential target?
Me? I’m not far downhill from a National Lab; if their nukes work, I’m toast.
If any nuke hits, we’re all toast.
What? No, it doesn’t. It makes MAD more likely. The prevailing thought is if one nuclear state pops a nuke everyone else will; the question isn’t who will win but who will survive. All Belarus needs to do it to attempt to use one it and it’s over. But I suspect that Belarus doesn’t control the nukes.
What part of the article implies he doesn’t know if they work?