There’s a dichotomy shaping up in this midterm election year. The national political landscape could hardly look worse for Trump and Republicans.
At the same time, the GOP is suddenly resurgent in the redistricting fight, getting significant wins this week in Virginia and Tennessee that could soften the blow they might have suffered without them.
Stop listening to MAGA celebrations of total victory, they are ALWAYS bluffing.
This redistricting nonsense could be a problem in a normal time, but not in a time when Trump is so deeply underwater.
For instance, Tennessee only had a single Democratic district, and they just got rid of it. But all those Democratic votes didn’t disappear, they just got moved into three strong Republican districts. Or at least they were strong Republican districts, with extremely low Democratic representation in the 10% range. Now those districts are more like 30% Democratic, and with Dems winning or coming close in Republicans districts with 20+ points swings, it is possible that they traded one winning Democratic district, for 3 losing Republican districts.
It might have worked in a normal election, but not in a bloodbath election like this one is going to be. They may have kept a couple of seats, but they won’t keep the entire House. It’s likely the Dems will STILL take the House majority, AND be motivated to redistrict every Blue state before 2028, and increase their lead in both chambers, with a Democratic President.
And gerrymandering doesn’t affect the Senate race at all.