traders are assuming that Trump will abandon the conflict before the economic toll of a prolonged war reaches extreme levels.
They don’t seem to realize that Iran gets a vote on when this war ends. They assume that Trump can end this whenever he gets bored, but nothing stops Iran from continuing to hit US+ally assets in the region while continuing to restrain Strait traffic.
Right, that’s the elephant in the room. The US can certainly pack up and go home, but Iran can keep Hormuz closed until their demands are met. And that makes it pretty much impossible for the US to spin this as some sort of victory. So, I full expect the US will just keep doubling down on escalation here.
I think they’re deliberately trying to keep investoids 3 weeks behind, but yeah we also knew that 3 weeks ago it’s central premise of the Short War flowchart
They don’t seem to realize that Iran gets a vote on when this war ends. They assume that Trump can end this whenever he gets bored, but nothing stops Iran from continuing to hit US+ally assets in the region while continuing to restrain Strait traffic.
Right, that’s the elephant in the room. The US can certainly pack up and go home, but Iran can keep Hormuz closed until their demands are met. And that makes it pretty much impossible for the US to spin this as some sort of victory. So, I full expect the US will just keep doubling down on escalation here.
The world needs more women in leadership roles (not Takaichi-style)
What style then? Thatcher? Hillary ?
I think they’re deliberately trying to keep investoids 3 weeks behind, but yeah we also knew that 3 weeks ago it’s central premise of the Short War flowchart
they should keep pummeling us/israel bases until they closed down and the rest are out of range. the US does not need bases outside of US soil.