It’s not even a question of winning the battle, it’s that Iran could very likely turn the island into a smoldering fire pit in a dozen different ways without even stepping on the island. From Iran’s side, they’re not going to win a face to face confrontation and they know it. If they spark up that island, oil prices shoot for the moon the next day, which puts Trump on a path to impeachment surprisingly fast. The right wing only reacts when things affect them personally, and gas is touching every one of them in their no no place, the wallet.