Jeremy Scahill and Murtaza Hussain
Feb 18, 2026

A former senior U.S. intelligence official who is an informal advisor to the Trump administration on Middle East policy told Drop Site that, based on his discussions with current officials, he assesses an 80-90% likelihood of U.S. strikes within weeks.

Iran realizes that it is facing an unprecedented threat from the U.S. if a deal that conforms with Trump’s terms is not reached, former Pentagon official Jasmine El-Gamal told Drop Site. “This is not a dress rehearsal,” she said. “This is it. This is not the negotiations of last year or the year before or the year before that. They’re backed into a corner. There’s no off ramp.”

  • couldhavebeenyou@lemmy.zip
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    5 hours ago

    I think the people have a better chance if the regime is busy with another enemy, yes

    Sad it has to be the US but I don’t think they have any other chance

    • Wakmrow [he/him]@hexbear.net
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      5 hours ago

      This is laughable. You should listen to citations needed, they just did an episode about this idiotic “logic”. No, bombing a country to pieces is not fucking helping the people living there.

      • couldhavebeenyou@lemmy.zip
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        1 hour ago

        What makes you think they’ll ‘bomb Iran to pieces’? Last time they just concentrated on military and enrichment plants. What motivation do you think they have to bomb civilians?