Two different elections doesnt really cover that, no. Youre comparing a presidential election to a mayoral election, which is super weird, which occurred in different years.
Presidential election years typically have a 55-60% turnout, while midterms are closer to a 40% turnout on the high end. Mayoral elections, as noted, haven’t had a turnout this high since 2001.
To suggest that the pool of active voters out of eligible for a presidential election is the same active voters for a mayoral election would also not be correct, its a different portion of the voting base that turned out. As I mentioned before, some areas (notably areas with a large POC population) had a substantialy different turnout.
The liberals who vote in presidential and midterms then dont show up for a mayoral election remained largely unchanged.
The increase in turnout was from eligible voters who are not active (apathetic), who were instead motivated to vote.
So no, liberals did not get Mamdani elected. They mostly voted for Cuomo. In about the same numbers as other mayoral elections.
Its important to look at like-to-like.
Anyway, seems I’m not learning anything new here and I’ve got dinner to get ready, so enjoy your day. I’ll be moseying along now.
1.9 million liberals voted Harris in presidential election and about a million conservatives voted Trump.
Cuomo and Silva had about a million votes (the conservatives) and Mamdani got a million of the liberals.
Easy peasy math for you!
Two different elections doesnt really cover that, no. Youre comparing a presidential election to a mayoral election, which is super weird, which occurred in different years.
That’s some really bad math IMO.
It’s the same voters though.
True it is different years and candidates but the 2021 mayor race also was a different year with different candidates.
Presidential election years typically have a 55-60% turnout, while midterms are closer to a 40% turnout on the high end. Mayoral elections, as noted, haven’t had a turnout this high since 2001.
To suggest that the pool of active voters out of eligible for a presidential election is the same active voters for a mayoral election would also not be correct, its a different portion of the voting base that turned out. As I mentioned before, some areas (notably areas with a large POC population) had a substantialy different turnout.
The liberals who vote in presidential and midterms then dont show up for a mayoral election remained largely unchanged.
The increase in turnout was from eligible voters who are not active (apathetic), who were instead motivated to vote.
So no, liberals did not get Mamdani elected. They mostly voted for Cuomo. In about the same numbers as other mayoral elections.
Its important to look at like-to-like.
Anyway, seems I’m not learning anything new here and I’ve got dinner to get ready, so enjoy your day. I’ll be moseying along now.
Yeah it seems like you’re not getting it!
Have a great dinner!