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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: June 29th, 2023

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  • Geopolitics works on several layers, getting progressively less public as you go down

    If their objective was to strike back hard enough to be a deterrent next time they’re attacked, why would they announce their intentions before they had the missiles ready?

    This announcement does a few things. It reassures the Iranian people that they won’t let strikes on their country go unanswered in the future. It is a show of strength towards Israel, because they know that the global political climate will protect them from war with Israel for the near future

    And possibly most importantly, it’s a departure from nukes. They’re announcing the intention of pursuing alternative means of defense

    The timing of this makes me think they’ve negotiated their way back in from the cold. This might have been planned all the way back at the strikes on their enrichment sites - they were strangely accommodating of that whole event, but it would make them look weak if they immediately said they were giving up their nuclear ambitions




  • You’re also putting money in Google’s pocket… They’ve been caught doing things like this to cheese their metrics

    Once a customer burns through their ad buy and sees they got a ton of clicks, they’re going to think “oh shit, this worked great”. Even under closer inspection, it looks like the ad worked, but that they’re failing to make the sales

    So they’re probably going to buy more

    This idea only works by helping inflate the advertising bubble, until it pops you’re just supporting ad services









  • They will go to unimaginable lengths to learn the wrong lessons, don’t get me wrong. And they’re doing their very best

    They’re testing literally everything except being more progressive… Everything from working with MAGA and bringing out Obama

    But none of their bizarre mixing and matching of everything imaginable, including testing fucking Hunter Biden for a presidential run, have paid off at all

    I just think it’s finally obvious, and urgent, enough that the leadership is going to turn over. At the end of the day, the leadership might be willing to go down with the ship over this, but the rank and file won’t



  • Did you see the part where the defacto leader of the party didn’t show up to his own press conference, so the reporters asked Bernie (who was just watching from the back) if he’d answer questions?

    The Democratic establishment fought Mamdani (and progressives generally) along with Trump and the oligarchs and lost massively. Both parties are in chaos right now, because it’s obvious that money is no longer enough to win elections, even safe ones

    They’re all going to be quiet for a while before the other shoe drops, hopefully the infighting will make it easier for progressives to rise to prominence