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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: April 19th, 2024

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  • Only a minuscule amount of critical thinking is required to reject the hypothesis that cumulative betting odds on news items are predictive of real outcomes. He mentioned sports betting as a similar case, do sports betters think increased betting odds (say on a specific horse to win) increase the likelihood that that horse wins? I kind of feel like they understand what the numbers represent but I’m not super steeped in gambling culture so I’m genuinely curious.

    News outlets framing betting odds as useful stats for predicting events is worrisome though. Readers expect journalists to provide only relevant information so mixing in stuff you’re paid to include breaks the expectation between writer and reader since the expected intention of the article (information on a topic) is different than the actual one (fulfilling an advertising obligation to a gambling company).




  • I don’t think it’s necessarily phobic but I personally find it a bit presumptuous for someone you’re not dating yet to express preferences about how they prefer you to groom.

    HAVING the preference doesn’t seem like a problem and doesn’t seem linked to transphobia.

    In my perfect world you would learn about their preferences when you were trying a new thing (shaving, haircut, outfit, whatever) and they were like “I find this new thing incredibly attractive.”
















  • As CBS affiliate WBZ-TV noted, the hotel claimed days later that Baker and Victor had used the same stall together and that one of them “put their hands on our security team[.]” Both women denied those allegations, and MCAD’s statement last week said the hotel had released a “false statement to the media,” which the commission found to constitute unlawful retaliation. The guard who initiated the incident no longer works at the hotel, the station reported.

    “We deeply regret that our initial statement may have created unintended impressions about the actions of Ansley and Liz. That was not our intent…”

    “Unintended impressions” lolol


  • The typical therapist advice about focusing only on the things you can personally change does not work well on macro issues. Issues that were created by lots of people working together like climate change require a bunch of people working together to fix. A bunch of people who don’t individually have the power to make any significant impact.

    Moral philosophers get bogged down trying to figure out how to do a calculus that would reasonably obligate each individual to join the cause via our normal feelings of responsibility but these generally feel unintuitive and lack the kind of motivating responsibility most people feel towards things they had more control in creating or causing. I like Pinkert’s early work to help get my head around issues of collective responsibility and individual motivation.

    Fact is that a whole lot of people need to take a leap of commitment to solve collective problems because if everyone acts rationally (in terms of their proportional responsibility to the problem and capacity to fix it) there is not nearly enough capacity to make a dent in issues like environmental pollution.

    On the level of day to day life it depends on how you’re applying the advice but I personally don’t find it comforting to be told there’s nothing I can do to intervene—in this case too I feel better trying -something- and failing frequently vs forcing myself to be zen about my friend turning to drugs or my boss being a jerk all the time because my rational brain says my efforts won’t make a difference anyway.