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Cake day: July 1st, 2023

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  • No, he won’t try to “cancel” the elections. First he’s trying to rig them through gerrymandering and voters suppression.
    If that’s not enough, he’ll make crazy claims of frauds at different places, and will try to reverse some results.

    But I can guarantee you that if none of that work, you’ll have a showdown. He knows well what awaits him would the GOP lose and he’s getting impeached. He won’t accept the results.

    Just note that he’s currently using the war to kick out generals he deems not loyal enough.


  • To win elections, you need a candidate who brings voters from their side. Trump brought the MAGA, an inconsistent alliance of all kind of deplorables. But they were all enthusiastic about him. Neither Clinton nor Harris had that, neither did Biden by the way. Their main platform was to be not Trump, and the rest was the status quo.

    At some point, the Dems need a candidate that voters actually support rather than pick as the least bad choice. So what will it be this time? Yet another meh-candidate backed by the “good” oligarchs or a candidate people actually want in power?



  • In one word: neoliberalism. It inevitably and inexorably leads to this.

    Decades of defunding education, maximizing corporate profit at the expense of the workers at the bottom, making life worse and worse for commoners.

    You end up with a large group of poorly educated, humiliated angry voters. And they’ll get fooled easy by the most populist guy who “say it like it is” and offe simplistic solutions and scapegoats.

    That’s why it’s happening. And US is not a single case. They just have a much higher power of nuisance.













  • I’m saying they could, and could have had these for a while, they may have a few ones that they were sending just to check if the US would detect them, they may have some on the go as a permanent operation, just like a patrol. I would say that’s unlikely, because the risk of getting caught was probably perceived as bigger than the benefit of having a strike opportunity. But as several others said before: sea traffic is barely checked.

    And another option is they already have some drones hidden on US soils and dormant agents ready to launch them.

    When you say it can’t happen, you understand that Russia does it in Europe regularly, right? Once in a while, they will even send drones flying above cities, airports, military bases, etc. just to see if they trigger any kind of response.


  • Some Russian drones fly over Europe from time to time, to test the defences and/or gather intel. They launch from vessels that look civilians, sail under a third party flag, and transport legit goods to further confuse investigations.

    Ukraine did a remarkable strike deep inside Russia by having their attack drones carried in a truck driven by a Russian driver who had no clue what he was carrying.

    So the drones may have been dispatched some time ago and could very well be on US soil waiting to be activated, or they could be transported on any vessel around.




  • When Russia invaded Ukraine, a lot of Russians bought the “special operation to de-nazify Ukraine” narrative. Some still do today.

    When the US invaded Iraq, a lot of Americans thought it was to free Iraqis and destroy WMD.

    It took the end of WWII for a lot of Germans to realize what was happening in the concentration camps.

    Israel is not a special place with people fundamentally different from the rest of the world. People are pretty much the same everywhere, and propaganda works everywhere.