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Joined 3 years ago
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Cake day: July 1st, 2023

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  • The sad truth is we said exactly the same thing during Trump’s first mandate. Granted it was not as bad as this time, but on a general principle: “we know someone like Trump can happen once, so we need to assume it will happen again!”. And… as soon as Biden started talking, the EU went back under a cozy mama-wing, easy solution.

    This time might be different… or not. Far right parties are getting stronger in France, Germany, already in power in Italy. They all somewhat allied with Trump and his goons. All the effort made to render the EU sovereign could be discarded just as quickly as they were put in place. Imagine Trump’s successort is someone smart enough to understand (or rather not too stupid to not understand…) the benefit of US military supremacy and protection, and you may see some EU govs happily reduce their military spending again: the US promised to have their back!

    At this stage, I am less pessimistic than I am careful: the direction is somewhat correct. We (the people) need to make sure it stays that way.

    But for Snowden’s case: I wouldn’t come back either. The minute he sets land in Europe, he becomes a bargaining chip in sode negotiations with the US! He could try his chances in Spain, until the next election, then it’s uncertainty all over again.





  • No, he won’t try to “cancel” the elections. First he’s trying to rig them through gerrymandering and voters suppression.
    If that’s not enough, he’ll make crazy claims of frauds at different places, and will try to reverse some results.

    But I can guarantee you that if none of that work, you’ll have a showdown. He knows well what awaits him would the GOP lose and he’s getting impeached. He won’t accept the results.

    Just note that he’s currently using the war to kick out generals he deems not loyal enough.


  • To win elections, you need a candidate who brings voters from their side. Trump brought the MAGA, an inconsistent alliance of all kind of deplorables. But they were all enthusiastic about him. Neither Clinton nor Harris had that, neither did Biden by the way. Their main platform was to be not Trump, and the rest was the status quo.

    At some point, the Dems need a candidate that voters actually support rather than pick as the least bad choice. So what will it be this time? Yet another meh-candidate backed by the “good” oligarchs or a candidate people actually want in power?



  • In one word: neoliberalism. It inevitably and inexorably leads to this.

    Decades of defunding education, maximizing corporate profit at the expense of the workers at the bottom, making life worse and worse for commoners.

    You end up with a large group of poorly educated, humiliated angry voters. And they’ll get fooled easy by the most populist guy who “say it like it is” and offe simplistic solutions and scapegoats.

    That’s why it’s happening. And US is not a single case. They just have a much higher power of nuisance.













  • I’m saying they could, and could have had these for a while, they may have a few ones that they were sending just to check if the US would detect them, they may have some on the go as a permanent operation, just like a patrol. I would say that’s unlikely, because the risk of getting caught was probably perceived as bigger than the benefit of having a strike opportunity. But as several others said before: sea traffic is barely checked.

    And another option is they already have some drones hidden on US soils and dormant agents ready to launch them.

    When you say it can’t happen, you understand that Russia does it in Europe regularly, right? Once in a while, they will even send drones flying above cities, airports, military bases, etc. just to see if they trigger any kind of response.