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Joined 3 年前
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Cake day: 2023年6月14日

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  • Be careful putting all your hope on this campaign

    No no. She’s an outside long shot on a good day. I’ve seen the polls. But the Iran War puts some of her most popular issues at the forefront of the race.

    If you look at the cross tabs, Basically, Biss voters split between Kat and Fine as second choice, and all Fine voters break to Biss, and all Kat voters also break to Biss.

    With some enormous undecides floating in the wind. It’s absolutely Biss’s race to lose. But as Fine gets more money and support to challenge Kat and Biss, she’s defining herself more strictly as a pro-Hasbara candidate. And she’s doing it in a race where Israel is a highly polarizing issue.

    If this were typical times and typical campaigns, i’d say Kats done and Biss is going to win this. However, key issue I identified early: this is a poll of “likely voters”.

    Like with Mamdani, a big turnout spike would favor the more progressive primary challengers simply because the high profile issues favor Kat’s campaign.

    But also, it’s Chicago Politics and that shit’s cutthroat. Rahm Emanuel could jump out from behind a bush and just stab a bunch of candidates, idfk.




  • There’s nothing in the released files that implies Clinton did anything illegal.

    I gotta wonder how you resolve a game of Clue if you’ve got the suspect, the room, and the murder weapon, but you still can’t figure out who done it.

    Clinton has been credibly accused of sexual assault on multiple occasions. “I didn’t do the sex crimes on the sex island with the other rapists” is a “I smoked but I didn’t inhale” ass defense.

    If you believe it…




  • Do you think Harris would have kept us out of Iran?

    She’s not Trump. That’s all that matters.

    If she hadn’t bombed Iran, it would be because she was kinder and wiser and more serious. If she had bombed Iran, it would have been for better reasons and with more international support.

    But the important thing is that she wouldn’t be Trump.





  • we haven’t followed the constitution in a very long time

    But whether the Constitution really be one thing, or another, this much is certain - that it has either authorized such a government as we have had, or has been powerless to prevent it. In either case it is unfit to exist.

    ~ Lysander Spooner, No Treason: The Constitution of No Authority