To be fair, you can also somewhat steer whether it will take off as a dev, by how you promote it and how much time you take to make it easily usable by others. Many devs really don’t care to have their passion projects take off, because it means you’ll likely spend less time doing your passion thing, more time doing user support.











I mean, there is a reason why that is so pervasive. It makes you set up the dev environment and figure out how to run a program, which is a step that you cannot skip.
Of course, you should go for a slightly more complex project afterwards.