Global temperature record could be broken as soon as 2027, with El Niño expected later this year

A record-breaking hot year is almost certain by 2030 as the climate crisis intensifies, the UN’s World Meteorological Organization has warned.

With an El Niño event expected later this year, the global temperature record could fall as soon as 2027.

Carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels are continuing to rise, trapping more heat and driving more extreme weather, including the record-breaking heatwave that has hit the UK and Europe this week.

Global heating is already estimated to be taking one life every minute, with the toll likely to rise unless emissions fall rapidly.

    • Pommes_für_dein_Balg@feddit.org
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      3 hours ago

      It’s statistical proof that climate change will get worse in the next years regardless of what we do.
      A definitive statement like that is rare in climatology.
      (It’s still essential to fight against climate change, but even with 0 CO2 output starting today, it would continue to get hotter for many years, since the system reacts slowly).

      • Buffalox@lemmy.world
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        6 hours ago

        Not really, the global population is only growing slowly now.
        So it’s misleading to call it “smashed”.

        • poopkins@lemmy.world
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          4 hours ago

          slowly

          Last year, just like every year prior to that since the 1950s, we’ve added the net population of the entire United Kingdom to this planet. All of those people consume, pollute and want a space to call their own. Just like the other 8.4 billion of us.

          As a species, the environment hasn’t ever been our priority.

          • Buffalox@lemmy.world
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            56 minutes ago

            This is pretty close, and it is true that the population has been growing by about the same amount of people per year since the 1950’s. But the same amount of people means decreasing percentage, and that means slower.

            But another significant factor is that in the industrialized world the growth had already almost completely stopped in the 50’s.
            Now the growth is beginning to decrease in Asia, and the expectation is that after 2050 the growth will be only on Africa.

            pewresearch: worlds-population-is-projected-to-nearly-stop-growing-by-the-end-of-the-century

            As a species, the environment hasn’t ever been our priority.

            Kind of true, but it definitely began to be in the 60’s in western democracies. other countries were a bit later, typically the priority of the environment follows when the economy reaches a certain level, where the balance between environment and more economy begin to shift.

            Problem is that with the global environment, some countries like especially USA don’t give a shit. Despite they have contributed more to the problem than any other country in the world.

            • poopkins@lemmy.world
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              13 minutes ago

              It’s odd to bring percentages into it as the other factors of the equation aren’t growing at the same rate. In fact, they are decreasing.

              The absolute number of people continues to increase steadily, consuming more and more and more of the finite resources we have.

              There are more humans on this planet today than have ever been on this planet in the past, and the same will be true for as long as our projections can reliably predict, and we have no intention to reduce that number.

              I don’t think the word “slow” has any place in describing this growth unless one wishes to deliberately obfuscate it by using an exponential scale.

        • fizzle@quokk.au
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          6 hours ago

          I feel like you may have missed the joke.

          I mean it wasnt a particularly funny joke, but the sentence was designed to illustrate the absurdity of making an engaging headline from a predictable occurrence.

          • Buffalox@lemmy.world
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            6 hours ago

            OK, But the headline of the article here does not contain such language as “smashed”, so IMO it’s a bit misplaced, but I get what you mean. Because the headline remains pretty stupid in being extremely obvious.

            • meco03211@lemmy.world
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              5 hours ago

              I know a guy that lamented all throughout Biden’s term that “the debt is the highest it’s ever been!” He truly didn’t understand how the US debt works. He also hasn’t cared that, to no one’s surprise but his own, the debt under trump’s current term is higher still.