Speaking later, von der Leyen said she thought it would be possible to disburse the first tranche of the €45bn funding planned for 2026 in this quarter, meaning by the end of June. The first payment, she indicated, would fund Ukraine’s domestic drone production – “drones from Ukraine for Ukraine”.
A drop in popularity would be a strong incentive to negotiate a solution, because they aren’t fools.
If propaganda is no longer working and critical thresholds are passed (“the fridge defeats the TV”) and government workers feel that status no longer protects them, then a wave of protest can’t be far. When it comes to protest, sadly it will be violent in Russia - because previous protest has been violently dealt with.
Putin and his elite will definitely want to avoid that.