Anyone giving you a confident answer on this is going to be doing so baselessly. The real answer is “we don’t know”. Journalists for the world’s most well-connected news organizations have been working around the clock just to identify that the missile was even American. That’s the state of information right now, and the unfortunate fact is we’re just going to have to wait for an answer if one ever comes.
The most you can really know right now is “it didn’t need to happen, and it was the US’ fault regardless.”
Based on the NYT article analyzing the video and satellite imagery, we can be fairly confident that it was a direct tomahawk hit. And checking the datellite images, the school looks like a part of the IRGC base, where other buildings were also targeted. So they most likely intended to hit the building, but they (obviously) didn’t know there was a school in it. A major fuckup caused by carelessness/incompetence that should have never happened, and heads should roll.
I mean both Iran and the U.S. seem to agree it was near a naval base. Most logical conclusion is that they just missed, whether it be from someone thinking they had the coordinates right from outdated information, someone being dumb and picking the wrong side of the compound, or simply the missile not being as accurate as people want to admit.
At best it was negligence, at worst it was sending a message by intentionally doing it to strike fear.
Anyone giving you a confident answer on this is going to be doing so baselessly. The real answer is “we don’t know”. Journalists for the world’s most well-connected news organizations have been working around the clock just to identify that the missile was even American. That’s the state of information right now, and the unfortunate fact is we’re just going to have to wait for an answer if one ever comes.
The most you can really know right now is “it didn’t need to happen, and it was the US’ fault regardless.”
Based on the NYT article analyzing the video and satellite imagery, we can be fairly confident that it was a direct tomahawk hit. And checking the datellite images, the school looks like a part of the IRGC base, where other buildings were also targeted. So they most likely intended to hit the building, but they (obviously) didn’t know there was a school in it. A major fuckup caused by carelessness/incompetence that should have never happened, and heads should roll.
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/08/world/middleeast/iran-minab-school-strike.html
I mean both Iran and the U.S. seem to agree it was near a naval base. Most logical conclusion is that they just missed, whether it be from someone thinking they had the coordinates right from outdated information, someone being dumb and picking the wrong side of the compound, or simply the missile not being as accurate as people want to admit.
At best it was negligence, at worst it was sending a message by intentionally doing it to strike fear.