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Cake day: June 15th, 2023

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  • they cozied up to the big baddy like the rest of Europe did, and now we’re alone, solely at their mercy.

    In 1945 Denmark was liberated from Nazi occupation by the British. Britain itself was in no shape to rebuild continental Europe after itself suffering from the Blitz and toward the end of the war repeated V-1 buzzbomb attacks. The USA was the untouched ally that helped rebuild Europe with the Marshal plan. Up until trump, the USA was a good ally to Europe even in modern times especially against Soviet aggression. To say the Danes made a mistake “cozying up” to the USA is to deny actual history and reality. There was no better great power ally to Europe during the post-war years.

    And I don’t have to provide better alternatives for something that could’ve happened in a different version of history

    Yes you do when you’re saying the Danes made a mistake. Otherwise your criticism and your argument are empty if you can’t say what they should have done instead.

    You know, you argue like the troll user UniversalMonk. You make a bold claim divorced from reality, then when challenged with facts you handwave away any parts that completely invalidate your original claim. Is this a coincidence or do you need to cycle out to a new alt again?


  • What I’m saying is pointing to the old vs young imbalance is disingenuous because ANY system that attempts to limit population growth will experience the same “sudden change”.

    You’re treating this as a binary situation “growth” or “decline” but its not nearly that simple. The important factors are the amount of growth or decline and at the rate that is the problem with China’s implementation.

    We shouldn’t discount all systems that want to limit population growth like this because ones with better metrics could actually work.

    No one is suggesting that.

    And as we’ve seen, this program DID WORK. It lowered population. Just not in socially healthy ways.

    …and…

    It’s just not logical to complain that if you have less of a growing population that your elderly population outnumbers them. That’s LITERALLY THE PURPOSE OF POPULATION CONTROL.

    That is empty logic, because it follows the letter of the goal* while entirely violating the spirit of it. Using that same logic we could fix global climate change just by murdering every human on the planet. See? It “DID WORK”. Climate change fixed, but like China’s situation, the cure is worse than the disease because in fixing climate change this way would mean there would be no humans around to benefit from the fix. But hey, it “DID WORK”, right?

    Of course the elderly from before will outnumber them - you weren’t controlling their population!

    Again, binary thinking. A complete stable system is okay if the elderly outnumber the young by a small consistent percentage over time. That isn’t what is happening in China. They are falling off a demographic cliff! Both match your statement of fewer young to elderly, but one is a sustainable controlled decline and the other is a crisis!


  • In the absence of God, Europe could’ve been a continent of commies and maybe some fraternity, solidarity and class conscience would have been built amongst these ever-warring nations, maybe?

    That sounds like a cop out answer to your comment above. You’re criticizing Denmark of allying with the USA. What was their better ally? Here’s your chance to back up your claims.

    Are you suggesting Denmark would have been better served joining the Soviet Union, which were the closest “commies” around them?


  • It should be obvious that if you suddenly cut population growth you’d end up with this elderly vs young imbalance eventually as the generations that reproduced freely age out.

    The problem is they did it too quickly. There’s a huge number of aging people that won’t be producing anything, but they will be consuming in their old age. The amount they consume will be far greater than the younger, smaller, population can produce. Additional, the young must produce goods and services for themselves to live their own lives.

    This additional preasure on the younger generation is already also reducing birth rates accelorating this demographic crisis to a worse degree. The young aren’t having kids in any significant numbers so there won’t be enough to support the current young when they get old.

    This is part of the adjustment as things reach equilibrium.

    That is a massive understatement for what will be the hell that the aging population will encounter when they go unfed or uncared for when they need it the most and have no option to do for themselves.

    Ideally you’d have a 2 child policy to actually replace parents 1:1 with kids. But the point is, this imbalance was bound to happen regardless and you really won’t see equilibrium until every person alive was born under the restricted policy.

    2 child policy would still result in population decline. Equal replacement rate is 2.1. Some kids will die before having kids of their own. Others will grow to adulthood and choose not to have kids. So you’ll need some sets of parents to have more than 2 kids themselves to make up for these shortfalls.

    This is still too early to call it a failed experiment. It’s right at the most crucial part.

    The “soft landing” point was a couple of decades ago probably back in the late 80s or mid 90s. Its going to be brutal in the future for China.



  • So like… I feel scared about the idea of like… just going for a walk all by myself…

    How about making a list of the things you think would possibly happen to you going for a walk by yourself that would justify being rationally scared. Then go through the list and consider even if each event is possibly, how probable is it? I think you’ll find that that things you’re most afraid of are the least likely to happen.

    Now as a comparison, make a list of all the things that could happen to you staying at home. Another list of all the things that could happen to you being driven to your destination. Assign realistic probabilities to each event. I’m guessing you’ll find that the probabilities of bad things on each of these three list will all look pretty equal. If they are equal, then going for a walk is no more dangerous that staying home or being driven somewhere.

    In a sense, if you’re afraid to go for a walk, you should be equally or more afraid of going for a drive or staying at home. As such, its not more dangerous to go for a walk than the other option.


  • Nobody runs AWS in their data center,

    Well, that’s exactly what the AWS Outpost product does. Oracle has the same type of product for OCI called Cloud@Customer. This is on-prem equipment that runs the cloud vendor’s hypervisor along with integration into CSP.

    Oracle Linux was forked from RHEL in the mid 2000s for this use-case.

    While you’re right about its origins, and options for bare metal use, in addition to that Oracle has evolved it to be their “free but supported” enterprise grade Linux for VMs running in OCI, just as AWS does with Amazon Linux.

    I never had any interest in it because it didn’t make sense to run Oracle Linux for the DB and some other distro on everything else, so we went with a more mainstream enterprise distro we could use for everything.

    I completely agree with your approach for on-prem deployments. However, for OCI VMs its a compelling case to use Oracle Linux when there’s no licensing costs compared to RHEL or SLES while still being an Enterprise supported OS.


  • USA recreating Hitlers SA “Brownshirts”

    "Hitler also relied on terror to achieve his goals. Lured by the wages, a feeling of comradeship, and the striking uniforms, tens of thousands of young jobless men put on the brown shirts and high leather boots of the Nazi Storm Troopers (Sturmabteilungen). Called the SA, these auxiliary policemen took to the streets to beat up and kill some opponents of the Nazi regime. "

    source

    These ICE thugs and their direct leaders should also turn a few more pages in a history book to find out what Hitler did to the SA brownshirts:

    “Night of the Long Knives, in German history, purge of Nazi leaders by Adolf Hitler on June 30, 1934. Fearing that the paramilitary SA had become too powerful, Hitler ordered his elite SS guards to murder the organization’s leaders, including Ernst Röhm. Also killed that night were hundreds of other perceived opponents of Hitler.”

    source


  • Johnson, R-La., worked for months to prevent this situation. His office argued Thursday that the federal health care funding from the COVID-19 era is rife with fraud and urged a no vote.

    So why don’t you directly address the fraud instead of hurting 22 million of the poorest Americans, Mike?

    On the floor, Republicans also argued that the lawmakers should be focused on lowering health insurance costs for the broader population, not just those enrolled in ACA plans.

    Hey Mike, that’s the “repeal and replace” GOP tag line since the ACA passed in March 2010. You’ve had now nearly 16 fucking years to put forward your plan that helps the broader population. You, Mike, have been in office since Feb 2015. That’s 10 years. Where’s the legislation you’ve introduced to help “the broader population” hmm?

    “Only 7% of the population relies on Obamacare marketplace plans. This chamber should be about helping 100% of Americans,” said Rep. Jason Smith, the Republican chairman of the House Ways and Means Committee.

    Hey Jason, you’ve been in the House since 2013. Where’s your introduced legislation that helps 100% of Americans? That 7% use the marketplace as the last resort for healthcare. These are the Americans that don’t have any other choice for healthcare, many of the poorest Americans. Help them first please! I’ve got healthcare through my employer, and while it could be better, I’m not hurting like these neighbors of mine that use the marketplace.



  • Most servers around the world run Linux.

    True.

    Why can’t these big tech companies manage to sell their own software to server operators

    Lots of companies large and small are running commercial distributions of Linux including with paid licensing for products Like RHEL (Red Hat Enterprise Linux) or SUSE. Millions of other servers are on co-branded versions of Linux that are provided for free to the customer as long as the customer continues to use the company’s service. Examples here are Amazon Linux or Oracle Linux (both of which you’re only allowed to run if they’re operating on Amazon or Oracle Cloud servers. Now, these same companies likely also use unlicensed free Linux in places, either disposable clusters or labs, but if an application has commercial uptime requirements (meaning downtime costs money), few companies run free Linux in those specific applications.

    or supercomputers?

    This is a frighteningly small install base to try to sell a commercial operating system on. How many supercomputers are there in the world? Perhaps 1000? Moreover, these are such specialized set ups that trying to make a one-size-fits-all OS is likely impossible.

    Why is an open, free project that is free for users so superior here?

    Just because there is free Linux does not mean that all Linux servers in the world are free.





  • They have all of the manufacturing infrastructure and investing heavily into robotics and low maintenance systems. So I really dont understand such a stupid political move.

    If you want to see what the future holds for a nation in that position, look no further than Japan. Its already facing the same demographic crisis, already trying to lean heavily into robots and automation. Japan also holds the same strong xenophobic stance to immigration, which would be the other way to address a falling birth rate. It’s not looking good for Japan on this front. South Korea is not too far behind Japan. With the USA going to war with its immigrants, we’ll be experiencing the same problem ourselves in another 20 to 40 years.


  • All the problems will be laid at the feet of Barrack Hussein Obama, the fake cheater DEI President who stole both elections and destroyed the economy with Socialism.

    Thats going to be hard, and unnecessary, sell as its not Obama’s name now plastered on the Kennedy Center. Obama was already out of office for 8 years when half the White House was demolished. A chunk of MAGA is already upset with trump. Trying to turn that ship would be time consuming and expensive when its much easier to simply blame the dead trump for all the problems. The GOP wouldn’t be able to claim they’ve “cleaned house” without pinning all the problems on the last one in charge, that being trump.