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Cake day: June 9th, 2023

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  • For what it’s worth, successfully removing Trump using the 25th amendment would be much harder than impeaching him and removing him.

    Impeachment and removal requires only a majority in the house, then a 2/3rds majority in the senate. That 2/3rds is almost impossible unless there are huge defections from the MAGA side.

    The 25th requires first that Vance and the majority of Trump’s cabinet declare that he’s unfit. That’s going to be a massive hurdle already because he’s packed his cabinet with people who are loyal above anything else, including competence. If you managed that, all it would take for Trump to resume being president was that he declared he was capable of resuming the job. He’d be tweeting that out within the hour. To override that would require a 2/3rds vote in both the house and the senate. So all the barriers that exist to impeachment and more.

    The 25th was designed for a case when the president was dead or dying. It’s also handy in cases where the president has to undergo surgery and will be medically sedated for a while. It was never designed to take power away from a madman, at least not from one who was sane enough to resist in any way.




  • It’s possible that some of them don’t want to admit to a stranger that they’d change their vote.

    But, most of it is probably choice-supportive bias or post-purchase rationalization. They believe they’re smart, right-thinking people and that they couldn’t have made a horrible mistake, so they look for reasons to feel like they made the right choice, despite all the evidence against it. They’re supported by a whole group of propaganda networks that explain away every bad thing that Trump does and shift the blame to democrats, liberals, trans people, immigrants, non-whites, women, etc.



  • IMO, one of the key reasons that Trump jumped into the war in Iran is that things went so well with the kidnapping of Maduro. If a few soldiers had been killed in that operation the Iran war might not have happened.

    He’s unpredictable and emotional. It’s true that in some ways he hats to be seen as weak. But, he takes offense at absolutely everything, and everything makes him look weak. So, it’s hard to say that any one thing will be the deciding factor. He seems to chicken out a lot more than he seems to double down when things don’t go his way.





  • Yeah, and that’s the core of the Kessler Syndrome issue. Right now, if everything goes well you still have 3 days to get the maneuvers in before stuff starts crashing. But, screw up once and now there’s even more space debris and the window to make those maneuvers gets even smaller. Eventually even if you have full control of the remaining satellites, there are so many collisions happening that you can’t get maneuvers to them fast enough before there are more cascading collisions.

    And, recent events showed that you don’t even need a collision. A Starlink satellite just blew up this week on its own. Who knows what happened, but where there used to be 1 satellite they’re now tracking one object surrounded by a bunch of debris.


  • I don’t think the democrats ever reckoned with the fact that a lot of Bernie Sanders supporters went for Trump once Hillary Clinton became the democratic nominee.

    There’s still a very powerful anti-establishment sentiment in the US. Someone like Chuck Schumer (just like Hillary Clinton) is the core of “establishment” politics. Schumer’s been in politics for something like 50 years. You’re never going to convince people that things are going to change when he’s in a position of power.



  • Yeah. What people don’t seem to realize is that even though space is big, it’s still really crowded in near earth orbits.

    The crash clock answers the question:

    What is the expected time for a potential collision in LEO between tracked artificial objects — including satellites, debris, and abandoned rocket bodies — if all manoeuvres were to stop?

    Say there were some dumb thing like an expired SSL certificate that prevented earth to ground communication. Just 6 years ago, you’d have half a year to resolve the issue before you’d expect there to be a collision. As of March 2026 it’s down to just 3 days.



  • My guess is that 90% of the growth in browser bloat is to support bloated websites.

    These days websites can be games, drawing applications, video players, etc. As a result, browsers have basically become operating systems. In addition, the browsers try to support even the most horribly written websites, but that means more bloat in the browser. Meanwhile faster computers mean that people developing websites are just doing more and more javascript, more and more animation, more and more mouse tracking, etc.

    If you have an old device with an old browser, a lot of modern websites are completely unusable. I have an old iPad that’s too old to update, and it’s not actually possible to use browse Github anymore. It just ends up with javascript elements on the page that never finish loading. And Github isn’t some site thrown together by someone vibe-coding their first website or something.




  • “Black Lives Matter” is a movement that has traction because right now black people are being killed by cops. “All Lives Matter” is insensitive because it’s ignoring the urgent problem that’s affecting black people now. The trans-Atlantic slave trade ended centuries ago. There’s no urgency to address something that has been over for that long.

    You might see what they’re doing as being pedantic, but I think you can acknowledge that the enslavement of Africans was a terrible crime against humanity without requiring a competition to see which atrocity gets the #1 spot. There’s nothing about what the EU said that comes close to saying they don’t want to take responsibility for what their ancestors did (although having said that, it’s ridiculous to ask that someone ever take responsibility for something their ancestors did).

    You can “whattabout” this all you want, but that doesn’t mean that the declaration was a good one. It was a shitty one and shouldn’t have been put forward at all.