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Joined 3 years ago
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Cake day: July 1st, 2023

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  • This is probably a standard headline for reporting trends, but really it’s Steadily Poor:

    Republicans largely approve of the president’s handling of Iran, immigration, Israel, and the economy, while most Democrats and independents disapprove.

    President Trump’s overall job approval rating is holding steady. Thirty-seven percent approve of the way he is handling his job, unchanged from the AP-NORC poll conducted in May and similar to the 36% who approved in early February, before the war in Iran began. The public continues to disapprove of his handling of Iran, with 34% approving, also unchanged from May. The poll was conducted as Trump suggested a deal with Iran had been reached but before it was signed.

    Something I don’t quite get with these polls and what I wish to see more of is a trend of what percent of people self-identify as independent, Republican, and Democrat over time. One would expect that the concentration of die-hard Republicans would remain unchanged or even strengthen in time as the more dilute “moderate” Republicans abandon the party in switching to Independent. Put another way, if only 10 Republicans remained in the party, you can bet your ass they’d be the biggest zealots and he’d have 100% approval among Republicans. I’m sure weighting techniques factor this in, but I’d just like to see how party identity has changed over the years more in these polls.

    Interestingly, the methodology for this poll indicates an oversampling of Jewish respondents.












  • (That’s the point).

    Been saying since the start: Iran is likely in on all this

    • IRGC Coup – The IRGC has LONG been wanting to make a move over the Ayatollah. Now the new Ayatollah is a sockpuppet and the IRGC has completely taken over by way of coup.

    • Quelled Civil Unrest – Prior to this conflict, civil unrest in Iran was heavily mounting. Thousands upon thousands out on the street. Now Iranian dissidents hopeful for being rescued were baited out of their homes, only to be slaughtered the first time Trump left them hanging, and the second time Israel and USA suddenly became the new threat and rallied the masses around while also indicating nobody was actually coming to save them from the tyranny within.

    • Superficial Damage – Most damage done to Iran has largely been superficial for media optics. Even their nuclear program has largely remained intact.

    • New Cashflow – Not only has this massively benefitted Russia with lifted oil sanctions, the IRGC got a massive injection into their own economy, both with the new toll system but also the literal cited fucking article above.

    Meanwhile Trump doesn’t give a shit. His goal as a Trojan Orange has been a success.