Send me bad puns. Good puns welcome too.

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Cake day: June 13th, 2024

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  • The military is at odds with him as he is putting them into harms way and pushing them to waste resources in Iran.

    Source?

    To the extent he’s purged someone, he’s fired very few people.

    He’s personally fired few people (who were however all top brass members), but his admin also banned trans people from the military and imposed facial hair standards meant to harass black people into leaving.

    He doesn’t have the support from the military to create a junta any more than Bush jr. did after 9/11, and Bush was a scion of the Deep State, with his CIA/President father.

    Uh… any evidence Bush even wanted to pull such a stunt?

    If the secret government wanted Trump in power permanently, then they’d already have suspended democracy.

    And deal with a revolution/civil war that they might actually lose? Consolidating power under the pretense of democracy is the only logical play here. And besides, the people who want this to happen aren’t “secret” in any sense of the world; they’re tech oligarchs like Musk and Thiel and other billionaires. They’re also, you know, the almost 1/3 of the population that will back Trump in whatever he does. MAGA meets all the conditions necessary for a fascist overthrow of democracy, and their ostensible opposition barely even cares.



















  • They have rejected monitoring. Rejected negotiating. Rejected reasonable terms that led to sanctions at multiple points.

    What? Have you never heard of JCPOA?

    Silencing dissent is logical but not creating martyrs in a culture that idolises them.

    Authoritarianism is a balancing act between not creating martyrs and making dissent dangerous. You can’t do one without the other, so while the Iranian regime might (or might not) be acting suboptimally the concern is still its own survival.

    Clamping down on women for wearing what they choose with violence is not logical.

    It gets points with their base of support, but also every regime anywhere does irrational things. The question is how much, so even if this was irrational (which again isn’t guaranteed) it doesn’t contradict with the wider point.

    In the case of ideology overriding logic, that could lead to use against Israel.

    [Citation needed]. Everything we have from the regime, both statements and actions, states otherwise. Iran can clearly deal significant damage to Israel using its missiles and drones, yet it only does so when threatened. Why would nukes be any different?

    Their support of multiple factions in multiple neighbouring countries targeting than working constructively is also illogical and inflammatory

    Iran is in direct competition with its Arab neighbors and Israel for regional supremacy; conflict between these camps is basically inevitable, especially with the Arab side being pro-America and Israel. Besides, their neighbors won’t trade with them with Western sanctions in place, making this a moot point. Their support for these militias improves their image domestically and regionally (factions like Hamas and the Houthis are very popular in the Middle East), gives them regional power (Iraq and Lebanon being obvious examples, but also Syria when Assad was around), makes local US presence costly and allows them to open up new fronts against Israel basically on demand. Tf you mean illogical, it’s downright genius (and very often evil, but that’s not what we’re talking about). Your position seems to hinge on the assumption that conflict is illogical, but there is such a thing as rational conflict. It’s not like Iran hasn’t tried to improve relations with its neighbors; it just does so on its own terms rather than America’s. TL;DR: Your point is analogous to asking why Ukraine doesn’t pursue better relations with Belarus.