• backalleycoyote@lemmy.today
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    7 hours ago

    Doubtful. The manner in which technologically advanced countries wage war has changed so much from Vietnam it would be hard to replay it. Look at Ukraine and how important drone combat is and how quickly they’ve advanced their capabilities. Iran has plenty of people who could wage a technologically sophisticated defense. Iran is also about 5x larger than Vietnam and has a population of 90+ million, over twice what Vietnam had. Ask the Romans how hard it is to conquer that area in a land war. If Americans go in it’ll probably be less like Vietnam and more like a mix of Iraq/Afghanistan.

    As far as Cold War, if you’re referring to all the proxy battles the US and USSR fought while never quite engaging each other directly; no. Iran doesn’t have the reach to fund a war elsewhere and the US already brought war to them. If anything, the US (and Israel) have been in a bit of a Cold War with Iran for sometime, targeting their proxies and allies in other nations, running spy/infiltration operations, who knows what kind of hacking. What it’s doing now would be the equivalent of the US bombing Russia on her own soil, but with the big difference only one party has a planet annihilating stockpile of nukes.

    Having grown up drilling for nuclear destruction and living with that ever present fear that maybe it would happen, I will say that since the fall of the Soviet Union I have never been more concerned about nukes getting used than I am now. This admin is so unhinged, so aggressive, so desperate to flex, and Iran has no ability to strike back with equal force nor allies that are going to retaliate. I worry that these morons might go full Call of Duty and drop one “because they can”. It’d make us a pariah (more so than we are) but I know they don’t care. Hesgeth would nuke a city just so he can make tough guy memes. But I’d also say I wouldn’t discount Iran’s ability to pull off a significant terrorist attack on US soil, they fight back in a way very different from the Viet Cong or Soviets. Fuck only knows if they managed to build a dirty bomb.